Global Crisis Asia

Crisis or the global financial crisis is global whack the United States. This is the fruit of the dependence on large capitalization investor speculation-speculation of a dominant business in the stock exchange. The real sector is not much running, not like that for 30 years, the Asian shore.

Thus decline in global currencies due to the real business is not observed. Consequently, the crisis also easily whip in the letters business worth billions of dollars. What is the case, they panic United States and Europe will spread to Asia?

Not easy to predict the pattern of global financial crisis will not whip or Asia in the next 3-6 months. However, when ditilik of economic growth in Asia, which was more real independence of the business sector, as shown this book, population growth and also areas of the buffer the economy, the strength of Asian economies strong enough to go through a crisis far exceeds the country strong.

A Michael Backman presented the case: the population dynamic in Japan, India, and China, which reached more than 1 billion people, 30 years, Asian population will be 400 million people more than now. India will virtually become the most countries in the world and Mumbai will be the most cities in the world.

Vietnam's economy will be the economy, such as Guangdong. North and South Korea will be united again. Asia will be home to half the world's nuclear reactors. China will become a country with the most English speaker in the world.

In China, the use of Mandarin will be inflated at least 50%. China will have a strong navy and become a major exporter of advanced weaponry. One hundred million Chinese tourists will flow out of China every year. Multinational companies in India, large scale will be reaching the world economy more than they do now.

The companies will be important Asia is controlled by the guardianship, wardship charity. Africa will porak-poranda by ethnic tensions, but this time between the people of Africa and the immigrant Chinese, not India. Residents of Japan will be reduced compared to 20 million now.

The number of men, India and China will be 250 million more than female, which might cause the two countries that increase their weaponry force after many years of doing this perampingan. Indonesia and Malaysia and will run out of oil; both will be many opportunities for regret that the work-starred in umpteen previous decade.

Not Political Freedom

Asian governments will continue to give their citizens more freedom, but not political freedom. Countries that are not democratic now will not approach demokasi. And now will leave the democratic understand that and become more authoritarian. Model of economic freedom and social freedom, but without a comparable pelitik will be the model of choice when the alternative-alternative has been tried and is less.

Party-party rule in China, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore and the not too memedulikan what citizens provided they do not threaten their power. Agreement appears between the governments of Asia and the citizens they are "let us keep hold of power and return as we will not disturb you, and we will be presenting economic growth and employment." However, media freedom and limited Ironically, the Internet are serving autokrat-autokrat Asia, not shake them.

However, democracy is a gift because it is better to build the economy. No economy, the West is truly democratic before becoming very rich. Asia will also know this.

Although the overall Asian population increased, this increase was slower than previously. Population growth slowed due to a combination of several factors, the most fundamental is wealth. In the language of economics, the child is a "good investor": when revenue increased, the demand for children but also increased the proportion reduced.

Revenue, which allows people greater access to new opportunities. As a result, raising children is more difficult. They often eat outside, travel, pursue hobbies. In addition, when the rich countries, participation of women in the labor force increased. Women have children or delay the number of children less because of its choosing a career.

Many women decide not require a husband's income as a guarantor of them could do alone. A final factor why people have fewer children when the economy associated with the assistance cooked in the household: helpmate and nurse children increasingly difficult to obtain, and expensive, and large families become smaller so fewer relatives who can help mangasuh children.

How Indonesia

What challenges of the Indonesian economy in the decades-decade future? The biggest challenges is to attract back foreign investors. Reduce corruption and improve transparasi is the key. Indonesia Siapkah accept this challenge? According to this book, read-indikasinya indication so far shows no readiness. The reasons, among others, charges and payment is not official in any joint Indonesian economy is increasingly expensive.

Indonesian people behave flexible against corruption. Surveys showed the Indonesian people tend to define corruption in terms of quantity. If corruption is to take money that is not necessarily large numbers. That the only legitimate or fair if the people who utilize the powerful position to enrich themselves. Only if people detest people were too greedy.